How Tifway 7 Is Going To Change Your Business Strategies – Tifway 419
Thomas BassingerTimes agents writer
Published: November 3, 2017
Updated: November 4, 2017 at 01:43 PM
Coaches and players deliver it.
We’ve got to get off the acreage on third down.
The Bucs? They’ve been spending so abundant time on the acreage they could acquaint you all you anytime capital to apperceive about the grass at Raymond James Stadium.
Tifway 419 Bermuda. Dense. Tough. Weed-resistant.
Last season, the aegis accustomed opponents to catechumen alone one out of every three third downs. This season, it’s acceptance opponents to catechumen bisected of them. What has afflicted in a year?
The third-down aegis you saw aftermost division was an illusion.
We apperceive what the numbers say. We’ve double- and triple-checked them. They’re accurate.
They don’t, however, accord us a complete picture.
Third-down about-face allotment is not a reliable indicator of the affection of a defense.
That’s because defenses face almost few third downs. The Bucs dedicated added than 1,000 plays aftermost season. Less than 20 percent were third downs. In fact, they were a brace of plays abroad from adverse the atomic third downs.
By emphasizing third down, we accident overlooking achievement on aboriginal downs. Here’s why that’s important: Defenses that accomplish ailing on aboriginal and additional bottomward but able-bodied on third bottomward tend to abatement the abutting season, Football Outsiders analysis shows.
That’s absolutely what has happened to the Bucs.
The aegis was bad on aboriginal downs aftermost season. It accustomed the third-most yards per comedy on aboriginal down. While it was a little bigger on additional bottomward in agreement of yards allowed, it accustomed opponents to accretion a aboriginal bottomward 35.8 percent of the time, the fourth-highest rate.
So as sparkling as the third-down allotment was aftermost season, it wasn’t abnormally meaningful. What acceptable is a low allotment if opponents are accepting aboriginal downs afore they get to third down?
Compounding the Bucs’ struggles this division is their disability to force opponents into anticipated situations. Instead of watching for passes, screens and draws on third down, they’re accepting to anguish about runs and play-action, too.
“The bigger you are on aboriginal and additional down, again the bigger adventitious you accept on third down,” assurance Keith Tandy said.
“Obviously if you get them in added defense-favorable situations on third down, again you should accept added success.”
Case in point: On Sunday adjoin Carolina, Tampa Bay bit on a run affected and larboard bound end Ed Dickson advanced accessible on a third and 1. Dickson acquired 14 yards to extend a drive that eventually concluded with a touchdown.
The affairs of a turnaround this division are slim. The Bucs are acceptance 5.4 yards per comedy on aboriginal and additional downs. That’s about alliance average, but it’s alone a slight advance over aftermost season.
Until the aegis is added constant on all downs, it’s activity to see added of the acreage than the area keepers.
Contact Thomas Bassinger at [email protected] Follow @tometrics.